Analysis: Private equity’s swoop on listed European firms runs into rising execution risks

Analysis: Private equity’s swoop on listed European firms runs into rising execution risks

  • Boards, shareholders start to rail against lowball bids
  • Push for higher premiums compound debt funding dilemma
  • Buyer vs seller valuation gaps may take a year to close

LONDON, June 28 (Reuters) – European listed companies have not been this cheap for more than a decade, yet for private equity firms looking to put their cash piles to work, costlier financing and stronger resistance from businesses are complicating dealmaking.Sharp falls in the value of the euro and sterling coupled with the deepest trading discounts of European stocks versus global peers seen since March 2009, have fuelled a surge in take-private interest from cash-rich buyout firms.Private equity-led bids for listed companies in Europe hit a record $73 billion in the first six months of this year to date, more than double volumes of $35 billion in the same period last year and representing 37% of overall private equity buyouts in the region, according to Dealogic data.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterThat contrasts with a sharp slowdown in overall M&A activity around the world. But as take-private target companies and their shareholders are increasingly bristling against cheap punts which they say fail to reflect fair value of their underlying businesses in 2022, prospects for deals in the second half of the year look less promising.Leading the first half bonanza was a 58 billion euro ($61.38 billion) take-private bid by the Benetton family and U.S. buyout fund Blackstone (BX.N) for Italian infrastructure group Atlantia (ATL.MI).Dealmakers, however, say the vast majority of take-private initiatives are not reflected in official data as many private equity attempts to buy listed companies have gone undetected with boardrooms shooting down takeover approaches before any firm bid has even been launched.”In theory it’s the right time to look at take-privates as valuations are dropping. But the execution risk is high, particularly in cases where the largest shareholder holds less than 10%,” said Chris Mogge, a partner at European buyout fund BC Partners.Other recent private equity swoops include a 1.6 billion pound ($1.97 billion) bid by a consortium of Astorg Asset Management and Epiris for Euromoney (ERM.L) which valued the FTSE 250-listed financial publisher at a 34% premium after four previous offers were rebuffed by its board. read more Also capturing the attention of private equity in recent weeks were power generating firm ContourGlobal (GLO.L), British waste-management specialist Biffa (BIFF.L) and bus and rail operator FirstGroup (FGP.L), with the latter rejecting the takeover approach. read more Trevor Green, head of UK equities at Aviva Investors (AV.L), said his team was stepping up engagement with company executives to thwart lowball bids, with unwelcome approaches from private equity made more likely in view of currency volatility.War in Europe, soaring energy prices and stagflation concerns have hit the euro and the British pound hard, with the former falling around 7% and the latter by 10% against the U.S. dollar this year.”We know this kind of currency movement encourages activity, and where there’s scope for a deal, shareholders will be rightly pushing for higher premiums to reflect that,” Green said.SUBDUED SPENDINGGlobally, private equity activity has eased after a record year in 2021, hit by raging inflation, recession fears and the rising cost of capital. Overall volumes fell 19% to $674 billion in the first half of the year, according to Dealogic data.Dealmaking across the board, including private equity deals, dropped 25.5% in the second quarter of this year from a year earlier to $1 trillion, according to Dealogic data. read more Buyout funds have played a major role in sustaining global M&A activity this year, generating transactions worth $405 billion in the second quarter.But as valuation disputes intensify, concerns sparked by rising costs of debt have prevented firms from pulling off deals for their preferred listed targets in recent months.Private equity firms including KKR, EQT and CVC Capital Partners ditched attempts to take control of German-listed laboratory supplier Stratec (SBSG.DE) in May due to price differences, three sources said. Stratec, which has a market value of 1.1 billion euros, has the Leistner family as its top shareholder with a 40.5% stake.EQT, KKR and CVC declined to comment. Stratec did not immediately return a request for comment.The risks of highly leveraged corporate takeovers have increased with financing becoming more expensive, leaving some buyers struggling to make the numbers on deals stack up, sources said.Meanwhile, piles of cash that private equity firms have raised to invest continue to grow, heaping pressure on partners to consider higher-risk deals structured with more expensive debt.”There is a risk premium for debt, which leads to higher deal costs,” said Marcus Brennecke, global co-head of private equity at EQT (EQT.N).The average yield on euro high yield bonds – typically used to finance leverage buyouts – has surged to 6.77% from 2.815% at the start of the year, according to ICE BofA’s index, and the rising cost of capital has slowed debt issuance sharply. (.MERHE00)As a result, private equity firms have increasingly relied on more expensive private lending funds to finance their deals, four sources said.But as share prices continue to slide, the gap between the premium buyers are willing to offer and sellers’ price expectations remains too wide for many and could take up to a year to narrow, two bankers told Reuters.In the UK, where Dealogic data shows a quarter of all European take-private deals have been struck this year, the average premium paid was 40%, in line with last year, according to data from Peel Hunt.”Getting these deals over the line is harder than it looks. The question really is going to be how much leverage (buyers can secure),” one senior European banker with several top private equity clients told Reuters.($1 = 0.8141 pounds)($1 = 0.9450 euros)Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Joice Alves, Emma-Victoria Farr, Sinead Cruise, additional reporting by Yoruk Bahceli, editing by Pamela Barbaglia and Susan FentonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .

Asia Gold High prices drag India discounts to 7-week low; China demand sluggish

Asia Gold High prices drag India discounts to 7-week low; China demand sluggish

A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De ChowdhuriRegister now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegister

  • India sees discount of up to $10/oz vs $9 last week
  • Indian buyers will wait for a hefty correction- dealer
  • Buyers in China cautious, conserving their expenditure – analyst

June 10 (Reuters) – Gold discounts in India this week were stretched to their highest level in seven weeks as higher prices repelled demand, while fresh concerns over the spread of COVID in top-consumer China left buyers reluctant to make purchases.This week, dealers in India were offering a discount of up to $10 an ounce over official domestic prices — inclusive of the 10.75% import and 3% sales levies, up from the last week’s discount of $9.Retail buying in India will remain weak, especially from rural areas as farmers focus on planting of summer-sown crops, said a Mumbai-based dealer with a private bullion importing bank.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegister“In May, prices were attractive. Retail consumers were buying for weddings. Now buyers will wait for a hefty correction,” the dealer said.Weddings are one of the biggest drivers of gold purchases in India.In China, gold was being sold at a discount of $1.5 to a premium of $0.5 an ounce versus global benchmark spot rates .Physical gold demand in China is pretty sluggish, StoneX analyst Rhona O’Connell said, adding that people haven’t been coming back into the market yet after lockdowns were eased, as they are cautious about the outlook and are conserving their expenditure for now.China’s commercial hub of Shanghai faces an unexpected round of mass COVID-19 testing for most residents this weekend – just 10 days after a city-wide lockdown was lifted. read more COVID-related restrictions weighed on demand in China in May and “the average trading volumes of Au9999 – a proxy of Chinese wholesale gold demand – witnessed the weakest May since 2013,” the World Gold Council said in a monthly note.In Hong Kong, gold continued to be sold at a discount of about $1.8 an ounce to a $1 premium, while in Japan, gold was sold between a premium of 50 cents and at par with the benchmark.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Eileen Soreng, Bharat Govind Gautam in Bengaluru, Rajendra Jhadav in Mumbai; Editing by Shailesh KuberOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .

Oil jumps after Saudi Arabia hikes crude prices

Oil jumps after Saudi Arabia hikes crude prices

A drilling rig operates in the Permian Basin oil and natural gas production area in Lea County, New Mexico, U.S., February 10, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File PhotoRegister now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterMELBOURNE, June 6 (Reuters) – Oil prices rose more than $2 in early trade on Monday after Saudi Arabia raised prices sharply for its crude sales in July, an indicator of how tight supply is even after OPEC+ agreed to accelerate its output increases over the next two months.Brent crude futures were up $1.80, or 1.5%, at $121.52 a barrel at 2319 GMT after touching an intraday high of $121.95, extending a 1.8% gain from Friday.U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up $1.63, or 1.4%, at $120.50 a barrel after hitting a three-month high of $120.99. The contract gained 1.7% on Friday.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterSaudi Arabia raised the official selling price (OSP) for its flagship Arab light crude to Asia to a $6.50 premium versus the average of the Oman and Dubai benchmarks, up from a premium of $4.40 in June, state oil produce Aramco (2222.SE) said on Sunday.The move came despite a decision last week by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together called OPEC+, to increase output in July and August by 648,000 barrels per day, or 50% more than previously planned.”Mere days after opening the spigots a bit wider, Saudi Arabia wasted little time hiking its official selling price for Asia, its primary market…seeing knock-on effects at the futures open across the oil market spectrum,” SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes said in a note.Saudi Arabia also increased the Arab Light OSP to northwest Europe to $4.30 above ICE Brent for July, up from a premium of $2.10 in June. However, it held the premium steady for barrels going to the United States at $5.65 above the Argus Sour Crude Index (ASCI).The OPEC+ move to bring forward output hikes is widely seen as unlikely to meet demand as several member countries, including Russia, are unable to boost output, while demand is soaring in the United States amid peak driving season and China is easing COVID lockdowns.”While that increase is sorely needed, it falls short of demand growth expectations, especially with the EU’s partial ban on Russian oil imports also factored in,” Commonwealth Bank analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Sonali Paul in Melbourne; Editing by Sam HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .

Shift to premium spirits helps Remy weather China lockdowns

Shift to premium spirits helps Remy weather China lockdowns

  • 2021/22 current operating profit up 39.9% vs forecast 38.6%
  • Expects another year of strong growth in 2022/23
  • Still eyes double-digit organic sales growth in Q1 – CEO

PARIS, June 2 (Reuters) – France’s Remy Cointreau (RCOP.PA) on Thursday predicted a strong start to its new financial year, as broad demand for its premium spirits helps to offset inflationary pressures and the impact of COVID lockdowns in China.The maker of Remy Martin cognac and Cointreau liquor made the upbeat comments after reporting higher-than-expected operating profit growth for its financial year ended March 31.”On the strength of our progress against our strategic goals, new consumption trends and our robust pricing power, we are starting the year 2022-23 with confidence,” Chief Executive Officer Eric Vallat said in a statement.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterThe pandemic has helped Remy’s long-term drive towards higher-priced spirits to boost profit margins, accelerating a shift towards premium drinks, at-home consumption, cocktails and e-commerce.Vallat told journalists that for the new fiscal year, Remy expected “solid profitable growth” as price increases and cost control would help mitigate inflationary pressures.In the short term, Vallat said: “I can confirm we are expecting double-digit organic sales growth in the first quarter despite the lockdown in China and high comparables.”With China accounting for 15-20% of group sales, growth would be led by demand from other regions, notably the United States.Strong demand for its premium cognac in China and the United States, along with tight cost management, lifted the company’s 2021/22 organic operating profit by 39.9% to 334.4 million euros ($356.3 million), beating the 38.6% forecast by analysts.Reflecting its confidence, Remy said it would pay shareholders an ordinary dividend of 1.85 euros per share in cash and an exceptional dividend of 1 euro.”Remy guides to another year of strong growth and margin improvement, led by its strong pricing power, which suggests upside to consensus organic EBIT of +10%,” Credit Suisse analysts said in a note.Remy Cointreau shares jumped more than 3% in early trade, before handing back some gains.The company reiterated its 2030 goals for a gross margin of 72% and an operating margin of 33%. That compares with the 68.6% and 25.5% achieved respectively in 2021/22.($1 = 0.9385 euros)Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Dominique Vidalon Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .

Insurance rates jump for Ukraine war-exposed business, sources say

Insurance rates jump for Ukraine war-exposed business, sources say

Planes of Aeroflot and Rossiya Airlines are seen parked at Sheremetyevo International Airport, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, outside Moscow, Russia April 8, 2020 REUTERS/Tatyana Makeyeva/File PhotoRegister now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterLONDON, May 30 (Reuters) – Insurance premiums are doubling or more for some aviation and marine business particularly exposed to the war in Ukraine, increasing costs for airline and shipping firms, industry sources say.Global commercial insurance premiums rose 11% on average in the first quarter, according to insurance broker Marsh, which said the war was putting upward pressure on rates.But the overall figure masks sharper moves in some sectors, and only covers the first five weeks following the invasion.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterWar is typically excluded from mainstream insurance policies. Customers buy extra war cover on top.Garrett Hanrahan, global head of aviation at Marsh, said aviation war insurance was no longer available for Ukraine, Russia and Belarus as a result of the conflict.For the rest of the world, aviation war cover has doubled, as insurers try to recoup some of their losses, he said.”The hull war market is beginning to reflate itself through rate rises.”The conflict, which Russia calls a “special military operation”, could lead to insurance losses of $16 billion-$35 billion in so-called “specialty” insurance classes such as aviation, marine, trade credit, political risk and cyber, S&P Global said in a report. read more Aviation insurance claims alone could total $15 billion, S&P Global said, with hundreds of leased planes stranded in Russia as a result of western sanctions and Russian countermeasures.One aircraft lessor described recent rate increases on its insurance as “not a pretty sight”. read more Some aircraft lessors – a particularly exposed sector of the market because their planes are stuck in Russia – were now having to pay 10 times their original premium, one underwriter said, while another said insurers could “name their price” to lessors.In ship insurance, policyholders pay an additional “breach” premium when a ship enters particularly dangerous waters, locations which are updated by the Lloyd’s market.For the area around Russian and Ukrainian waters in the Black Sea and Sea of Avov, this has increased multiple times, three insurance sources said, to around 5% of the value of the ship, from 0.025% before the invasion, amounting to millions of dollars for a seven-day policy.Each time a ship goes into those waters, it has to pay that extra premium.Rates for ships going into other Russian waters have also risen by at least 50% after the Lloyd’s market classified all Russian ports as high risk, two of the sources said.Because of the dangers, some marine insurers have also stopped providing cover for the region. read more Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Carolyn Cohn, Jonathan Saul and Noor Zainab Hussain, Editing by Angus MacSwanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .