Wall St Week Ahead Recession fears loom over U.S. value stocks

Wall St Week Ahead Recession fears loom over U.S. value stocks

A screen displays trading informations for stocks on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 27, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidRegister now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterNEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) – Fears of a potential economic slowdown are clouding the outlook for value stocks, which have outperformed broader indexes this year in the face of surging inflation and rising interest rates.Value stocks – commonly defined as those trading at a discount on metrics such as book value or price-to-earnings – have typically underperformed their growth counterparts over the past decade, when the S&P 500’s (.SPX) gains were driven by tech-focused giants such as Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) and Apple Inc (AAPL.O).That dynamic shifted this year, as the Federal Reserve kicked off its first interest rate-hike cycle since 2018, disproportionately hurting growth stocks, which are more sensitive to higher interest rates. The Russell 1000 value index (.RLV) is down around 13% year-to-date, while the Russell 1000 growth index (.RLG) has fallen about 26%.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterThis month, however, fears that the Fed’s monetary policy tightening could bring on a U.S. recession have shifted the momentum away from value stocks, which tend to be more sensitive to the economy. The Russell value index is up 0.7% in July, compared with a 3.4% gain for its growth-stock counterpart.”If you think we are in a recession or are going into a recession, that does not necessarily … work to the advantage of value stocks,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services.The nascent shift to growth stocks is one example of how investors are adjusting portfolios in the face of a potential U.S. economic downturn. BofA Global Research on Thursday cut its year-end target price for the S&P 500 to 3,600 from 4,500 previously and became the latest Wall Street bank to forecast a coming recession. read more The index closed at 3,863.16 on Friday and is down 18.95% this year.Corporate earnings arriving in force next week will give investors a better idea of how soaring inflation has affected companies’ bottom lines, with results from Goldman Sachs , Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) and Tesla among those on deck.For much of the year, value stocks benefited from broader market trends. Energy shares, which comprise around 7% of the Russell 1000 value index, soared over the first half of 2022, jumping along with oil prices as supply constraints for crude were exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.But energy shares along with crude prices and other commodities have tumbled in recent weeks on concerns that a recession would sap demand.A recession also stands to weigh on bank stocks, with a slowing economy hurting loan growth and increasing credit losses. Financial shares represent nearly 19% of the value index. read more An earnings beat from Citigroup, however, buoyed bank shares on Friday, with the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK)gaining 5.76%.At the same time, tech and other growth companies also tend to have businesses that are less cyclical and more likely able to weather a broad economic slowdown.”People pay a premium for growth stocks when growth is scarce,” said Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group.JPMorgan analysts earlier this week wrote they believe growth stocks have a “tactical opportunity” to make up lost ground, citing cheaper valuations after this year’s sharp sell-off as one of the reasons.Value stock proponents cite many reasons for the investing style to continue its run.Growth stocks are still more expensive than value shares on a historical basis, with the Russell 1000 growth index trading at a 65% premium to its value counterpart, compared to a 35% premium over the past 20 years, according to Refinitiv Datastream.Meanwhile, earnings per share for value companies are expected to rise 15.6% this year, more than twice the rate of growth companies, Credit Suisse estimates.Data from UBS Global Wealth Management on Thursday showed value stocks tend to outperform growth stocks when inflation is running above 3% – around a third of the 9.1% annual growth U.S. consumer prices registered in June. read more Josh Kutin, head of asset allocation, North America at Columbia Threadneedle, believes a possible U.S. recession in the next year would be a mild one, leaving economically sensitive value stocks primed to outperform if growth picks up.”If I had to pick one, I’d still pick value over growth,” he said. “But that conviction has come down since the start of the year,” Kutin said.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Lewis Krauskopf, additional reporting by David Randall and Ira Iosebashvili; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Richard ChangOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .

Retailer Canadian Tire to strengthen game with over $2 bln investment

Retailer Canadian Tire to strengthen game with over $2 bln investment

People walk out of a Canadian Tire Store that is located by a Mark’s clothing store, which is owned by Canadian Tire Corporation in Toronto, May 8, 2014. REUTERS/Mark Blinch Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterMarch 10 (Reuters) – Canadian Tire Corp Ltd (CTCa.TO) said on Thursday it would invest C$3.4 billion ($2.66 billion) over the next four years on its physical and online presence, as it looks to build on the gains made from the pandemic-led online surge.To lure more customers and get a bigger share of their spend as competition grows, retailers are beefing up their online business and offering everything from attractive loyalty programs to personalized promotions online.Toronto, Ontario-based Canadian Tire said it would expand its rewards program and rollout its premium annual membership across its stores nationwide, while also introducing over 12,000 new products under its owned brands by 2025.Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterThe owner of SportChek and Mark’s store banners also said it would invest about C$675 million to boost its supply chain infrastructure by adding more warehouse space and opening a new e-commerce fulfillment center.Shipping delays and product shortages plagued retailers last year, forcing them to look at ways to strengthen their supply chains to ensure well-stocked shelves to meet rising consumer demand.Canadian Tire said about C$1.2 billion of its investment would go toward improving the connection of its digital and physical channels, to boost its same-day pickup options, including curbside.Canadian Tire said it expects to grow same-store sales, excluding fuel, by more than 4% annually by 2025, with a profit target of more than C$26 per share.RBC analyst Irene Nattel said the forecast was likely “well above Street expectations.”The company reported earnings of C$18.38 per share last year and had recorded a nearly 30% surge in e-commerce sales.($1 = 1.2803 Canadian dollars)Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterReporting by Deborah Sophia and Praveen Paramasivam in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. .

سهام کوهل به دلیل علاقه خرید از Sycamore، Acacia افزایش یافت

سهام کوهل به دلیل علاقه خرید از Sycamore، Acacia افزایش یافت

24 ژانویه (رویترز) – پس از گزارش رویترز مبنی بر اینکه شرکت سهامی خصوصی Sycamore Partners با پیشنهاد خرید 9 میلیارد دلاری به فروشگاه های زنجیره ای نزدیک شده است، سهام شرکت Kohl (KSS.N) 36 درصد افزایش یافت. یک منبع گفت. روز یکشنبه Sycamore حاضر به پرداخت حداقل 65 دلار به ازای هر سهم بود که به معنای حق بیمه 39 درصدی نسبت به آخرین قیمت بسته بود. Starboard Value-backed Acacia Research (ACTG.O) هفته گذشته پیشنهاد پرداخت 64 دلار به ازای هر سهم را داد. بیشتر بخوانید Kohl's روز دوشنبه تایید کرد که نامه‌هایی مبنی بر ابراز علاقه به تصاحب دریافت کرده است و اضافه کرد که هیئت مدیره اقداماتی را انجام خواهد داد که به نفع شرکت و سهامداران آن باشد. نام خواستگاران را ذکر نکرده است. اکنون برای دسترسی نامحدود رایگان به رویترز.com ثبت نام کنیدثبت نام سرمایه گذاران فعالی مانند Macellum Advisors و Engine Capital که از عملکرد کهل ناراضی هستند، همچنین از آن خواسته اند تا گزینه ها، از جمله فروش را بررسی کند. . اطلاعات بیشتر مانند رقبای Macy's (MN) و Nordstrom (JWN.N)، Kohl's سهم بازار خود را به زنجیره های آنلاین و غیر قیمتی از دست داده است، اما اخیراً با Sephora و PVH (PVH.N) LVMH (LVMH.PA) کالوین کلاین تحسین تحلیلگران را به دست آورده است. تابلویی نشانگر فروشگاه Kohl در مدفورد، ماساچوست، ایالات متحده، 21 فوریه 2017 است. رویترز/برایان اسنایدر/فایل عکس هفته کسب و کار جهانی در آیندهبیشتر بخوانید 1 درصد از Kohl's، روز دوشنبه از خرده فروش خواست تا با اشاره به پیشنهاد Acacia، پیشنهاد خرید با 37 درصد حق بیمه را "به شدت دنبال کند". تعدادی از تحلیلگران گفتند که Kohl's که دارای ارزش بازار 6.52 میلیارد دلار است، می تواند ارزش بیشتری داشته باشد. پل لژوئز از سیتی در یادداشتی نوشت: «KSS یک تولیدکننده قوی FCF (جریان نقدی رایگان) است و به نظر نمی‌رسد از بازار اعتباری دریافت کند، و این امر باعث می‌شود پیشنهادات را در نظر بگیریم». مایکل بینتی از Credit Suisse در یادداشتی نوشت ارزش 70 تا 80 دلاری. سهام برای بهترین شب روز خود در مسیر بودند با توجه به اینکه این اخبار رقبای Macy's و Nordstrom را نیز بالاتر می برد. با این حال، تحلیلگران UBS متقاعد نیستند که یک معامله اتفاق بیفتد زیرا آنها شک دارند که املاک و مستغلات کهل ارزش کافی برای ارائه وثیقه کافی را داشته باشد. آنها اضافه کردند که تغییرات عملیاتی پیشنهاد شده توسط فعالان نمی تواند جلوی زیان سهم بازار را بگیرد و ممکن است طلبکاران را متقاعد نکند که سرمایه کافی وام بدهند. اکنون برای دسترسی نامحدود رایگان به رویترز.com ثبت نام کنید. بنگالورو ویرایش توسط کریشنا چاندرا الوری و آدیتیا سونی استانداردهای ما: اصول اعتماد تامسون رویترز. .